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Tuesday 16 January 2018

OXFORD BUSINESS GROUP: GHANA - YEAR IN REVIEW 2017

Rising industrial and energy output, along with steady declines in inflation and debt levels, combined to support accelerated growth in Ghana in 2017, and continued fiscal reforms point to a positive outlook for 2018.


The economy gained momentum last year, expanding by 7.8% year-on-year (y-o-y) in the first six months, according to Ghana’s 2018 budget statement, tabled to Parliament in November.

While full-year results for 2017 have not yet been announced, the performance in the first half of the year put the economy firmly on track to hit the government’s year-end growth projection of 7.9%, up from original forecasts of 6.3% and well above 2016’s expansion of 3.7%.

Industry was the best performing sector, growing by an estimated 17.7% on the back of higher-than-expected upstream oil production. The mining and quarrying segment, of which hydrocarbons is a significant contributor, was forecast to record year-end expansion of 52.3%, while power generation was set to rise by 6.7% and construction by 3.7%.

Elsewhere, the services sector, which accounts for 55.9% of economic activity, was expected to post growth of 4.7% in 2017, while agriculture was on track to expand by 4.3%.

Hydrocarbons and services to drive future growth

The upward trend is expected to continue into the coming years. The government predicts GDP will increase by 6.8% in 2018, followed by growth of 7.3% in 2019 and 5.6% in 2020.

While hydrocarbons activity is set to spur short-term expansion, the further development of segments such as ICT and education will drive growth in the medium term, according to government estimates.

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